Ecological Archives E085-104-A1

Per Gösta Andersson. 2004. Alternative confidence intervals for the total of a skewed biological population. Ecology 85:3166–3171.

Appendix A. The derivation of the alternative adjusted confidence interval.

If the covariance

we may as "variance estimator" consider

where

This alternative "variance estimator" can be shown to be uncorrelated with the point estimator of and to have a lower variance than the standard variance estimator. Now, by substituting K by

we arrive at the approximately t-distributed pivotal

Consider then a two-sided t test for a specific value (under the null hypothesis) of , using P as test statistic and significance level . A confidence region with approximate confidence level 1 –  therefore consists of all values of which is not rejected by this test, i.e., the values of for which |P| < t. This is equivalent to

We observe that the values of for which this inequality holds, constitute an interval with endpoints given by the solutions to

We thus yield the confidence interval



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