Appendix A. Equilibria and stability of the SIZ model with predators.
In this appendix, we describe and detail the stability of the equilibria produced by model of susceptible host (S), infected host (I), and free-floating spore (Z) dynamics with predators (P). This SIZ model with P (Eq. 1) produces a single interior equilibrium (i.e., Si* > 0, I* > 0, Z* > 0) defined by:
|
(A.1a) |
|
(A.1b) |
|
(A.1c) |
where Sb* is the boundary equilibrium occurring in the absence of the parasite (see Eq. 2a). The equilibrial density of Si is the ratio of rates of losses to gains of spores times the ratio of rates of losses and gains of infected hosts. Density of infected hosts at I* is a complex expression of Sb* and Si* and increases with as density-dependence relaxes (i.e., with c-1). Finally, equilibrial density of spores (Z*) equals the ratio of the rate of spores produced by dead I divided by the loss rate of spores. Positive density of Sb and I requires that predator density not exceed, respectively:
|
(A.2a) |
|
(A.2b) |
where the latter condition (Eq. A.2b) is, not surprisingly, a more restrictive requirement than the former (Eq. A.2a).
Following standard protocol for stability analysis of ordinary differential equations, we first construct a Jacobian matrix for the SIZ system with predators:
.
|
(A.3) |
The Routh-Hurwitz criteria for stability of such a system require that the coefficients of its characteristic polynomial (λ3 + A1 λ2 + A2 λ + A3) meet: A1 > 0, A3 > 0, and A1A2 > A3, where:
|
(A.4a) |
|
(A.4b) |
|
(A.4c) |
and Jn,k are the elements of the Jacobian matrix (Eq. A.3). With some algebra, one can show that J11 < 0 always (because J11 > 0 at a P which is too large to fall along the nullcline created by setting dS/dt to zero). Therefore, A1 > 0 is always met. Condition A3 > 0 is always met as long as I* > 0 (see Eq. A.2b). The third condition defies easy interpretation algebraically. Suffice it to say here that, for the range of parameters considered in this paper, this condition is always met. Thus, the dynamics of the SIZ system behave stably in the examples here.