Ecological Archives E089-177-A1

**Peter B. Adler and Janneke HilleRisLambers. 2008. The influence of climate and species composition on the population dynamics of ten prairie forbs. Ecology 89:3049–3050.**

Appendix A. Mean survival and recruitment parameter values and upper and lower 95% credibile-interval limits, by 10 focal species.

Survival				Recruitment
Parameter	Mean	Lower	Upper	Parameter	Mean	Lower	Upper

Cirsium undulatum
Age 1 survival	-6.425	-16.520	2.786	Fecundity	0.811	-3.075	4.383
Age >=2 survival	-6.564	-16.792	2.835	GroP	0.004	-0.009	0.016
GroP	0.002	-0.027	0.029	DormP	0.016	-0.016	0.047
DormP	0.022	-0.042	0.087	Lag1P	0.013	0.003	0.022
Lag1P	-0.008	-0.026	0.010	GroT	-0.157	-0.324	0.021
GroT	0.195	-0.241	0.667	DormT	0.352	0.192	0.517
DormT	0.188	-0.137	0.520	Conspecific	-0.101	-0.249	0.041
Conspecific	-9.941	-69.824	50.724	Shortgrass	-0.070	-0.677	0.536
Shortgrass	0.877	-0.066	1.784	C₄ grass	0.989	0.296	1.659
C₄ grass	0.625	-0.674	1.820	Quadrat variance	0.109	0.056	0.249
Quadrat variance	0.313	0.127	1.169
Individual variance	0.733	0.205	3.471

Echinacea angustifolia
Age 1 survival	2.814	-4.111	9.541	Fecundity	-5.001	-10.061	-0.238
Age >=2 survival	3.605	-3.337	10.301	GroP	0.007	-0.007	0.021
GroP	-0.016	-0.041	0.007	DormP	0.030	-0.008	0.067
DormP	0.004	-0.050	0.058	Lag1P	0.004	-0.004	0.013
Lag1P	0.007	-0.008	0.023	GroT	0.223	0.011	0.445
GroT	-0.163	-0.474	0.157	DormT	0.072	-0.099	0.237
DormT	-0.069	-0.369	0.210	Conspecific	-0.490	-0.691	-0.298
Conspecific	-9.246	-68.340	48.181	Shortgrass	1.026	-1.266	3.304
Shortgrass	0.065	-1.688	1.770	C₄ grass	-1.190	-2.752	0.407
C₄ grass	-0.021	-1.221	1.156	Quadrat variance	0.340	0.131	1.718
Quadrat variance	0.285	0.112	1.366
Individual variance	0.456	0.156	1.835

Hedyotis nigricans
Age 1 survival	-5.606	-11.280	0.707	Fecundity	1.900	-1.474	5.684
Age >=2 survival	-5.354	-11.150	1.098	GroP	-0.027	-0.040	-0.015
GroP	-0.021	-0.045	0.004	DormP	0.055	0.030	0.079
DormP	0.047	-0.001	0.099	Lag1P	0.000	-0.008	0.008
Lag1P	-0.020	-0.038	-0.003	GroT	-0.130	-0.301	0.027
GroT	0.265	-0.023	0.529	DormT	0.316	0.194	0.437
DormT	0.005	-0.237	0.256	Conspecific	-0.054	-0.084	-0.026
Conspecific	-16.495	-72.157	38.622	Shortgrass	1.227	0.389	2.048
Shortgrass	-4.147	-6.969	-1.385	C₄ grass	1.820	0.618	3.008
C₄ grass	-0.960	-2.101	0.110	Quadrat variance	0.602	0.223	2.277
Quadrat variance	0.858	0.251	7.837
Individual variance	1.021	0.375	3.220

Lesquerella ovalifolia
Age 1 survival	-15.243	-20.951	-9.486	Fecundity	-9.527	-14.100	-5.374
Age >=2 survival	-14.173	-19.861	-8.479	GroP	0.010	-0.005	0.024
GroP	0.018	-0.003	0.038	DormP	0.078	0.051	0.106
DormP	0.048	0.000	0.097	Lag1P	0.008	-0.001	0.018
Lag1P	0.000	-0.016	0.017	GroT	0.245	0.070	0.433
GroT	0.606	0.355	0.868	DormT	0.173	0.060	0.284
DormT	0.187	-0.041	0.413	Conspecific	-0.035	-0.055	-0.020
Conspecific	-7.859	-30.201	12.834	Shortgrass	2.029	-2.568	6.281
Shortgrass	2.546	-0.133	5.241	C₄ grass	8.900	6.792	11.120
C₄ grass	-0.431	-1.573	0.665	Quadrat variance	0.948	0.334	6.151
Quadrat variance	0.336	0.118	3.294
Individual variance	0.565	0.189	2.153

Paronychia jamesii
Age 1 survival	-7.818	-13.200	-3.414	Fecundity	-4.286	-7.665	-0.987
Age >=2 survival	-7.203	-12.721	-2.764	GroP	0.009	-0.001	0.019
GroP	0.008	-0.007	0.024	DormP	-0.023	-0.053	0.005
DormP	-0.022	-0.062	0.015	Lag1P	0.009	0.002	0.015
Lag1P	0.002	-0.008	0.011	GroT	0.161	0.015	0.314
GroT	0.269	0.077	0.509	DormT	-0.202	-0.345	-0.061
DormT	0.226	0.028	0.432	Conspecific	0.027	-0.003	0.059
Conspecific	1.637	-57.396	58.383	Shortgrass	3.572	1.703	5.407
Shortgrass	0.220	-0.966	1.409	C₄ grass	0.934	-0.232	2.080
C₄ grass	0.127	-0.493	0.748	Quadrat variance	0.211	0.085	0.944
Quadrat variance	0.261	0.102	1.270
Individual variance	0.478	0.176	1.523

Psoralea tenuiflora
Age 1 survival	2.866	-1.411	6.496	Fecundity	5.768	3.666	7.521
Age >=2 survival	3.345	-0.917	6.969	GroP	-0.029	-0.035	-0.023
GroP	-0.032	-0.047	-0.017	DormP	-0.024	-0.035	-0.012
DormP	-0.012	-0.039	0.016	Lag1P	0.001	-0.002	0.005
Lag1P	-0.013	-0.024	-0.003	GroT	-0.224	-0.304	-0.131
GroT	-0.124	-0.297	0.081	DormT	0.040	-0.014	0.096
DormT	0.052	-0.090	0.194	Conspecific	-0.080	-0.123	-0.049
Conspecific	5.336	-8.130	18.151	Shortgrass	1.027	0.788	1.266
Shortgrass	-0.656	-1.088	-0.225	C₄ grass	0.762	0.375	1.150
C₄ grass	-0.864	-1.564	-0.186	Quadrat variance	0.069	0.040	0.142
Quadrat variance	0.150	0.080	0.354
Individual variance	0.294	0.120	0.854

Ratibida columnifera
Age 1 survival	-1.842	-9.886	5.873	Fecundity	0.335	-3.068	3.744
Age >=2 survival	-1.970	-9.916	5.714	GroP	0.029	0.017	0.041
GroP	-0.011	-0.040	0.016	DormP	0.070	0.038	0.101
DormP	0.019	-0.058	0.096	Lag1P	0.031	0.024	0.037
Lag1P	0.036	0.023	0.049	GroT	-0.213	-0.381	-0.048
GroT	-0.112	-0.512	0.288	DormT	-0.008	-0.143	0.127
DormT	-0.203	-0.520	0.102	Conspecific	-0.029	-0.071	0.015
Conspecific	19.952	-34.241	71.493	Shortgrass	-0.432	-0.906	0.033
Shortgrass	0.901	-0.060	1.920	C₄ grass	-2.383	-4.549	-0.427
C₄ grass	1.445	-2.261	4.577	Quadrat variance	0.091	0.050	0.206
Quadrat variance	0.265	0.114	0.856
Individual variance	0.978	0.288	3.599

Solidago mollis
Age 1 survival	0.213	-3.782	4.741	Fecundity	1.203	-0.991	3.094
Age >=2 survival	0.576	-3.426	5.143	GroP	-0.012	-0.018	-0.006
GroP	-0.017	-0.028	-0.006	DormP	0.024	0.007	0.040
DormP	0.018	-0.013	0.048	Lag1P	-0.005	-0.009	0.000
Lag1P	-0.007	-0.015	0.001	GroT	-0.002	-0.090	0.096
GroT	-0.104	-0.308	0.070	DormT	-0.144	-0.230	-0.054
DormT	0.026	-0.127	0.184	Conspecific	0.007	-0.008	0.022
Conspecific	1.729	-51.703	55.411	Shortgrass	-0.086	-0.410	0.232
Shortgrass	0.531	0.033	1.033	C₄ grass	-1.581	-2.113	-1.039
C₄ grass	-0.327	-1.080	0.423	Quadrat variance	0.113	0.058	0.285
Quadrat variance	0.887	0.295	5.102
Individual variance	0.208	0.092	0.582

Sphaeralcea coccinea
Age 1 survival	-7.401	-15.130	-1.095	Fecundity	0.450	-2.565	3.363
Age >=2 survival	-6.865	-14.460	-0.632	GroP	-0.008	-0.018	0.002
GroP	-0.005	-0.027	0.019	DormP	-0.025	-0.051	-0.002
DormP	-0.037	-0.085	0.008	Lag1P	-0.007	-0.014	0.000
Lag1P	-0.034	-0.049	-0.019	GroT	0.042	-0.088	0.177
GroT	0.404	0.115	0.758	DormT	-0.110	-0.224	-0.001
DormT	-0.003	-0.255	0.249	Conspecific	-0.209	-0.309	-0.113
Conspecific	1.667	-52.891	57.651	Shortgrass	0.690	0.286	1.127
Shortgrass	0.038	-0.773	0.866	C₄ grass	-4.932	-6.732	-3.300
C₄ grass	-1.138	-5.164	2.169	Quadrat variance	0.127	0.066	0.291
Quadrat variance	0.246	0.105	0.841
Individual variance	0.544	0.190	1.849

Thelesperma megapotamicum
Age 1 survival	-6.991	-14.111	1.882	Fecundity	-1.349	-4.704	2.208
Age >=2 survival	-7.138	-14.402	1.826	GroP	0.004	-0.010	0.018
GroP	-0.009	-0.044	0.026	DormP	0.001	-0.038	0.035
DormP	-0.021	-0.077	0.034	Lag1P	0.013	0.004	0.021
Lag1P	-0.017	-0.039	0.005	GroT	-0.046	-0.208	0.105
GroT	0.257	-0.151	0.584	DormT	0.488	0.272	0.671
DormT	0.400	0.048	0.770	Conspecific	-0.158	-0.238	-0.070
Conspecific	-0.958	-58.583	57.409	Shortgrass	0.423	-0.665	1.608
Shortgrass	-0.199	-1.741	1.254	C₄ grass	-2.345	-3.781	-1.003
C₄ grass	-0.358	-1.976	1.141	Quadrat variance	0.286	0.112	1.395
Quadrat variance	0.330	0.125	1.666
Individual variance	0.485	0.158	2.370

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