Ecological Archives E089-177-A1

Peter B. Adler and Janneke HilleRisLambers. 2008. The influence of climate and species composition on the population dynamics of ten prairie forbs. Ecology 89:3049–3050.

Appendix A. Mean survival and recruitment parameter values and upper and lower 95% credibile-interval limits, by 10 focal species.

Survival

Recruitment

Parameter

Mean

Lower

Upper

Parameter

Mean

Lower

Upper

               

Cirsium undulatum

             

Age 1 survival

-6.425

-16.520

2.786

Fecundity

0.811

-3.075

4.383

Age >=2 survival

-6.564

-16.792

2.835

GroP

0.004

-0.009

0.016

GroP

0.002

-0.027

0.029

DormP

0.016

-0.016

0.047

DormP

0.022

-0.042

0.087

Lag1P

0.013

0.003

0.022

Lag1P

-0.008

-0.026

0.010

GroT

-0.157

-0.324

0.021

GroT

0.195

-0.241

0.667

DormT

0.352

0.192

0.517

DormT

0.188

-0.137

0.520

Conspecific

-0.101

-0.249

0.041

Conspecific

-9.941

-69.824

50.724

Shortgrass

-0.070

-0.677

0.536

Shortgrass

0.877

-0.066

1.784

C4 grass

0.989

0.296

1.659

C4 grass

0.625

-0.674

1.820

Quadrat variance

0.109

0.056

0.249

Quadrat variance

0.313

0.127

1.169

       

Individual variance

0.733

0.205

3.471

       
               

Echinacea angustifolia

             

Age 1 survival

2.814

-4.111

9.541

Fecundity

-5.001

-10.061

-0.238

Age >=2 survival

3.605

-3.337

10.301

GroP

0.007

-0.007

0.021

GroP

-0.016

-0.041

0.007

DormP

0.030

-0.008

0.067

DormP

0.004

-0.050

0.058

Lag1P

0.004

-0.004

0.013

Lag1P

0.007

-0.008

0.023

GroT

0.223

0.011

0.445

GroT

-0.163

-0.474

0.157

DormT

0.072

-0.099

0.237

DormT

-0.069

-0.369

0.210

Conspecific

-0.490

-0.691

-0.298

Conspecific

-9.246

-68.340

48.181

Shortgrass

1.026

-1.266

3.304

Shortgrass

0.065

-1.688

1.770

C4 grass

-1.190

-2.752

0.407

C4 grass

-0.021

-1.221

1.156

Quadrat variance

0.340

0.131

1.718

Quadrat variance

0.285

0.112

1.366

       

Individual variance

0.456

0.156

1.835

       
               

Hedyotis nigricans

             

Age 1 survival

-5.606

-11.280

0.707

Fecundity

1.900

-1.474

5.684

Age >=2 survival

-5.354

-11.150

1.098

GroP

-0.027

-0.040

-0.015

GroP

-0.021

-0.045

0.004

DormP

0.055

0.030

0.079

DormP

0.047

-0.001

0.099

Lag1P

0.000

-0.008

0.008

Lag1P

-0.020

-0.038

-0.003

GroT

-0.130

-0.301

0.027

GroT

0.265

-0.023

0.529

DormT

0.316

0.194

0.437

DormT

0.005

-0.237

0.256

Conspecific

-0.054

-0.084

-0.026

Conspecific

-16.495

-72.157

38.622

Shortgrass

1.227

0.389

2.048

Shortgrass

-4.147

-6.969

-1.385

C4 grass

1.820

0.618

3.008

C4 grass

-0.960

-2.101

0.110

Quadrat variance

0.602

0.223

2.277

Quadrat variance

0.858

0.251

7.837

       

Individual variance

1.021

0.375

3.220

       
               

Lesquerella ovalifolia

             

Age 1 survival

-15.243

-20.951

-9.486

Fecundity

-9.527

-14.100

-5.374

Age >=2 survival

-14.173

-19.861

-8.479

GroP

0.010

-0.005

0.024

GroP

0.018

-0.003

0.038

DormP

0.078

0.051

0.106

DormP

0.048

0.000

0.097

Lag1P

0.008

-0.001

0.018

Lag1P

0.000

-0.016

0.017

GroT

0.245

0.070

0.433

GroT

0.606

0.355

0.868

DormT

0.173

0.060

0.284

DormT

0.187

-0.041

0.413

Conspecific

-0.035

-0.055

-0.020

Conspecific

-7.859

-30.201

12.834

Shortgrass

2.029

-2.568

6.281

Shortgrass

2.546

-0.133

5.241

C4 grass

8.900

6.792

11.120

C4 grass

-0.431

-1.573

0.665

Quadrat variance

0.948

0.334

6.151

Quadrat variance

0.336

0.118

3.294

       

Individual variance

0.565

0.189

2.153

       
               

Paronychia jamesii

             

Age 1 survival

-7.818

-13.200

-3.414

Fecundity

-4.286

-7.665

-0.987

Age >=2 survival

-7.203

-12.721

-2.764

GroP

0.009

-0.001

0.019

GroP

0.008

-0.007

0.024

DormP

-0.023

-0.053

0.005

DormP

-0.022

-0.062

0.015

Lag1P

0.009

0.002

0.015

Lag1P

0.002

-0.008

0.011

GroT

0.161

0.015

0.314

GroT

0.269

0.077

0.509

DormT

-0.202

-0.345

-0.061

DormT

0.226

0.028

0.432

Conspecific

0.027

-0.003

0.059

Conspecific

1.637

-57.396

58.383

Shortgrass

3.572

1.703

5.407

Shortgrass

0.220

-0.966

1.409

C4 grass

0.934

-0.232

2.080

C4 grass

0.127

-0.493

0.748

Quadrat variance

0.211

0.085

0.944

Quadrat variance

0.261

0.102

1.270

       

Individual variance

0.478

0.176

1.523

       
               

Psoralea tenuiflora

             

Age 1 survival

2.866

-1.411

6.496

Fecundity

5.768

3.666

7.521

Age >=2 survival

3.345

-0.917

6.969

GroP

-0.029

-0.035

-0.023

GroP

-0.032

-0.047

-0.017

DormP

-0.024

-0.035

-0.012

DormP

-0.012

-0.039

0.016

Lag1P

0.001

-0.002

0.005

Lag1P

-0.013

-0.024

-0.003

GroT

-0.224

-0.304

-0.131

GroT

-0.124

-0.297

0.081

DormT

0.040

-0.014

0.096

DormT

0.052

-0.090

0.194

Conspecific

-0.080

-0.123

-0.049

Conspecific

5.336

-8.130

18.151

Shortgrass

1.027

0.788

1.266

Shortgrass

-0.656

-1.088

-0.225

C4 grass

0.762

0.375

1.150

C4 grass

-0.864

-1.564

-0.186

Quadrat variance

0.069

0.040

0.142

Quadrat variance

0.150

0.080

0.354

       

Individual variance

0.294

0.120

0.854

       
               

Ratibida columnifera

             

Age 1 survival

-1.842

-9.886

5.873

Fecundity

0.335

-3.068

3.744

Age >=2 survival

-1.970

-9.916

5.714

GroP

0.029

0.017

0.041

GroP

-0.011

-0.040

0.016

DormP

0.070

0.038

0.101

DormP

0.019

-0.058

0.096

Lag1P

0.031

0.024

0.037

Lag1P

0.036

0.023

0.049

GroT

-0.213

-0.381

-0.048

GroT

-0.112

-0.512

0.288

DormT

-0.008

-0.143

0.127

DormT

-0.203

-0.520

0.102

Conspecific

-0.029

-0.071

0.015

Conspecific

19.952

-34.241

71.493

Shortgrass

-0.432

-0.906

0.033

Shortgrass

0.901

-0.060

1.920

C4 grass

-2.383

-4.549

-0.427

C4 grass

1.445

-2.261

4.577

Quadrat variance

0.091

0.050

0.206

Quadrat variance

0.265

0.114

0.856

       

Individual variance

0.978

0.288

3.599

       
               

Solidago mollis

             

Age 1 survival

0.213

-3.782

4.741

Fecundity

1.203

-0.991

3.094

Age >=2 survival

0.576

-3.426

5.143

GroP

-0.012

-0.018

-0.006

GroP

-0.017

-0.028

-0.006

DormP

0.024

0.007

0.040

DormP

0.018

-0.013

0.048

Lag1P

-0.005

-0.009

0.000

Lag1P

-0.007

-0.015

0.001

GroT

-0.002

-0.090

0.096

GroT

-0.104

-0.308

0.070

DormT

-0.144

-0.230

-0.054

DormT

0.026

-0.127

0.184

Conspecific

0.007

-0.008

0.022

Conspecific

1.729

-51.703

55.411

Shortgrass

-0.086

-0.410

0.232

Shortgrass

0.531

0.033

1.033

C4 grass

-1.581

-2.113

-1.039

C4 grass

-0.327

-1.080

0.423

Quadrat variance

0.113

0.058

0.285

Quadrat variance

0.887

0.295

5.102

       

Individual variance

0.208

0.092

0.582

       
               

Sphaeralcea coccinea

             

Age 1 survival

-7.401

-15.130

-1.095

Fecundity

0.450

-2.565

3.363

Age >=2 survival

-6.865

-14.460

-0.632

GroP

-0.008

-0.018

0.002

GroP

-0.005

-0.027

0.019

DormP

-0.025

-0.051

-0.002

DormP

-0.037

-0.085

0.008

Lag1P

-0.007

-0.014

0.000

Lag1P

-0.034

-0.049

-0.019

GroT

0.042

-0.088

0.177

GroT

0.404

0.115

0.758

DormT

-0.110

-0.224

-0.001

DormT

-0.003

-0.255

0.249

Conspecific

-0.209

-0.309

-0.113

Conspecific

1.667

-52.891

57.651

Shortgrass

0.690

0.286

1.127

Shortgrass

0.038

-0.773

0.866

C4 grass

-4.932

-6.732

-3.300

C4 grass

-1.138

-5.164

2.169

Quadrat variance

0.127

0.066

0.291

Quadrat variance

0.246

0.105

0.841

       

Individual variance

0.544

0.190

1.849

       
               

Thelesperma megapotamicum

             

Age 1 survival

-6.991

-14.111

1.882

Fecundity

-1.349

-4.704

2.208

Age >=2 survival

-7.138

-14.402

1.826

GroP

0.004

-0.010

0.018

GroP

-0.009

-0.044

0.026

DormP

0.001

-0.038

0.035

DormP

-0.021

-0.077

0.034

Lag1P

0.013

0.004

0.021

Lag1P

-0.017

-0.039

0.005

GroT

-0.046

-0.208

0.105

GroT

0.257

-0.151

0.584

DormT

0.488

0.272

0.671

DormT

0.400

0.048

0.770

Conspecific

-0.158

-0.238

-0.070

Conspecific

-0.958

-58.583

57.409

Shortgrass

0.423

-0.665

1.608

Shortgrass

-0.199

-1.741

1.254

C4 grass

-2.345

-3.781

-1.003

C4 grass

-0.358

-1.976

1.141

Quadrat variance

0.286

0.112

1.395

Quadrat variance

0.330

0.125

1.666

       

Individual variance

0.485

0.158

2.370

       

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