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Appendix C. Complex models make slightly more conservative predictions of climate change effects.

FIG. C1. Complex models make slightly more conservative predictions of climate change effects. Horizontal line at 1 represents current prevalence. Solid lines are significant, dashed line is not. Interaction between model type and model complexity in determining predicted change in prevalence is highly significant (ANOVA: F2, 723 = 6.42, P < 0.01). Dot and line coloring are as in Fig. B1.