A. rubrum seed bank

Betula spp. seed bank

L. tulipifera seed bank

N. sylvatica seed bank

Q. rubra

No. observations (stands × plots × years)

2160
(4 × 60 × 9)

2700
(5 × 60 × 9)

2160
(4 × 60 × 9)

2160
(4 × 60 × 9)

3000
(5 × 60 × 10)

Seed viability

v_j(initial values)

 (0.21,0.18,0.22,0.14)²

 (0.8,0.14,0.26,0.53,0.01)²

 (0.13,0.09,0.38,0.22)²

(0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5)¹

 (0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5)¹

     (priors)

(0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12)²

(0.65,0.13,0.24,0.47,0.01)²

(0.07,0.08,0.31,0.16)²

(1,1,1,1)¹

(1,1,1,1,1)¹

      (priors)

(0.28,0.21,0.26,0.17)²

(0.88,0.15,0.28,0.59,0.01)²

(0.23,0.1,0.46,0.29)²

(1,1,1,1)¹

(1,1,1,1,1)¹

Seed mortality

d_j(initial values)

(0.8,0.95,0.87,0.92)²

(0.81,0.63,0.41,0.61,0.67)²

(0.34,0.21,0.39,0.37)²

(0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5)¹

-

    (priors)

(0.62,0.87,0.73,0.82)²

(0.76,0.6,0.39,0.57,0.64)²

(0.23,0.14,0.27,0.26)²

(1,1,1,1)¹

-

   (priors)

(0.89,0.97,0.93,0.96)²

(0.85,0.66,0.44,0.65,0.7)²

(0.47,0.28,0.49,0.49)²

(1,1,1,1)¹

-

Parameters below have similar initial values and priors for all the species

Light

 light_ji (initial values)

results from Bayesian kriging from M.Dietze data taken in the summer of 2000.

 lowerL_ji(priors)

values calculated from kriging results (mean-6%).

upperL_ji (priors)

values calculated from kriging results (mean+6%).

Fixed effects
  (initial values)¹

(0.1,0,0,0,0)

   (priors) ¹

(0.1,0,0,0,0)

   (priors) ¹

Error term

(initial values)¹

(0,0,...)_{4 × 60 × 9}

(0,0,...)_{5 × 60 × 9}

(0,0,...)_{4 × 60 × 9}

(0,0,...)_{4 × 60 × 9}

(0,0,...)_{5 × 60 × 10}

(initial values)¹

1

1

1

1

1

Stand Random effects ( if associated with a fixed effect, otherwise)

(initial values)¹

(0,0,0,0,)

(0,0,0,0,)

(0,0,0,0,)

(0,0,0,0,0)

(0,0,0,0,0)

   (initial values)¹

1

1

1

1

1

Plot random effects

(initial values)¹

(0,0,...)_4 × 60

(0,0,...)_5 × 60

(0,0,...)_4 × 60

(0,0,...)_4 × 60

(0,0,...)_5 × 60

(initial values)¹

1

1

1

1

1